西宁地区大气中黑碳气溶胶浓度的观测研究

对2005年9月至2007年7月在西宁获得的黑碳气溶胶(BC)浓度观测资料及气象观测资料进行了分析. 结果表明, 受当地冬季取暖和冬季逆温出现频率高的影响, BC浓度的月际变化规律明显, 且变化幅度大, BC浓度高值出现在每年10月至次年1月;低值出现在5-8月;日平均浓度为4 240.1 ng·m-3, 其变化范围为957.5～11 045.5 ng·m-3. 受局地人为活动和大气垂直对流扩散等影响, BC浓度日变化表现出明显的双峰值特征, BC高浓度出现在7:00～12:00和18:00～24:00, 而低浓度一般出现在14:00～17:00和02:00～05:00时段. 与相距90 km的瓦里关全球本底站相比, 西宁BC日平均浓度偏高约13倍, 且月际变化差异大, 但与国内部分城市相比还是较低(除西藏拉萨外).     

Stratigraphy,pollen analysis and paleoclimatic interpretation of Mowrray and Rroadmeadows Swamps,North Western Tasmania

Sedimentary, palynologic and ¹⁴C analysis of marls and swamp‐peats, formed under fluctuating artesian spring conditions, provide climate and vegetation records from >52,000 to 0 yr BP at Mowbray, and 30,000 to 0 yr BP at Broadmeadows. Before about 65,000 yr BP conditions at Mowbray were relatively dry and the vegetation was Leptospermum shrubland. After 65,000 and before 55,000 yr BP moist conditions produced Cyperaceae swamps. Between 55,000 and 45,000 yr BP the climate was relatively dry, and between 45,000 and 35,000 yr BP relatively moist. Leptospermum shrubs were dominant in both periods. The climate was moist between 35,000 and 22,000 yr BP and sedge swamps formed. Between 22,000 and 11,000 yr BP the climate was relatively dry and grasses were important. Postglacial climate (11,000–0 yr BP) was warm and moist, and Melaleuca‐Leptospermum forest and shrubland flourished. The climatic changes suggested for north western Tasmania seem to compare broadly with changes suggested for Tasmanian and for other southern Australian sites, but the correlation is limited by imprecise dating.     

1997-1999年黄河上游玛曲地区人工增雨生态效应的检验

以牧草产量、归一化植被指数为生物指标,探讨了人工增雨生态效应检验的思路和方法,并以黄河上游玛曲地区1997—1999年人工增雨作业为例,进行了实际的计算。结果表明,玛曲地区人工增雨对提高牧草产量、增加植被覆盖度具有正效应,牧草产量平均增加两成多,植被覆盖度增加显著;初步估算,1998年玛曲地区人工增雨的草场经济效益投入产出比为1：9．7。     

Environmental Radioxenon Levels in Europe: a Comprehensive Overview

Activity concentration data from ambient radioxenon measurements in ground level air, which were carried out in Europe in the framework of the International Noble Gas Experiment (INGE) in support of the development and build-up of a radioxenon monitoring network for the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty verification regime are presented and discussed. Six measurement stations provided data from 5 years of measurements performed between 2003 and 2008: Longyearbyen (Spitsbergen, Norway), Stockholm (Sweden), Dubna (Russian Federation), Schauinsland Mountain (Germany), Bruyères-le-Châtel and Marseille (both France). The noble gas systems used within the INGE are designed to continuously measure low concentrations of the four radioxenon isotopes which are most relevant for detection of nuclear explosions: ^131mXe, ^133mXe, ¹³³Xe and ¹³⁵Xe with a time resolution less than or equal to 24 h and a minimum detectable concentration of ¹³³Xe less than 1 mBq/m³. This European cluster of six stations is particularly interesting because it is highly influenced by a high density of nuclear power reactors and some radiopharmaceutical production facilities. The activity concentrations at the European INGE stations are studied to characterise the influence of civilian releases, to be able to distinguish them from possible nuclear explosions. It was found that the mean activity concentration of the most frequently detected isotope, ¹³³Xe, was 5–20 mBq/m³ within Central Europe where most nuclear installations are situated (Bruyères-le-Châtel and Schauinsland), 1.4–2.4 mBq/m³ just outside that region (Stockholm, Dubna and Marseille) and 0.2 mBq/m³ in the remote polar station of Spitsbergen. No seasonal trends could be observed from the data. Two interesting events have been examined and their source regions have been identified using atmospheric backtracking methods that deploy Lagrangian particle dispersion modelling and inversion techniques. The results are consistent with known releases of a radiopharmaceutical facility.     

Uncertainty propagation of arbitrary probability density functions applied to upscaling of transmissivities

In many fields of study, and certainly in hydrogeology, uncertainty propagation is a recurring subject. Usually, parametrized probability density functions (PDFs) are used to represent data uncertainty, which limits their use to particular distributions. Often, this problem is solved by Monte Carlo simulation, with the disadvantage that one needs a large number of calculations to achieve reliable results. In this paper, a method is proposed based on a piecewise linear approximation of PDFs. The uncertainty propagation with these discretized PDFs is distribution independent. The method is applied to the upscaling of transmissivity data, and carried out in two steps: the vertical upscaling of conductivity values from borehole data to aquifer scale, and the spatial interpolation of the transmissivities. The results of this first step are complete PDFs of the transmissivities at borehole locations reflecting the uncertainties of the conductivities and the layer thicknesses. The second step results in a spatially distributed transmissivity field with a complete PDF at every grid cell. We argue that the proposed method is applicable to a wide range of uncertainty propagation problems.     

Weather-induced temporal variations in nitrate concentrations in shallow groundwater

For the evaluation of policy action programs to improve groundwater quality, research institutes and governments intensively monitor nitrate concentrations in shallow or near surface groundwater. However, trend detection is often hampered by the large seasonal and multi-annual temporal variability in nitrate concentrations, especially in shallow groundwater within 0–5 m below the surface in relatively humid regions. This variability is mainly caused by variations in precipitation excess (precipitation minus evapotranspiration) that results in strong variability in groundwater recharge. The objective of this study was to understand and quantify this weather-induced variability in shallow groundwater nitrate concentrations.We present an example of measured weather related variations in shallow groundwater nitrate concentrations from De Marke, an intensively monitored experimental farm in The Netherlands. For the quantification of the weather-induced variability, concentration-indices were calculated using a 1D model for water and solute transport. The results indicate that nitrate concentrations in the upper meter of groundwater at De Marke vary between 55% and 153% of the average concentration due to meteorological variability. The concentration-index quantification method was successfully used to distinguish weather related variability from human-induced trends in the nitrate concentration monitoring data from De Marke. Our model simulations also shows that sampling from fixed monitoring wells produces less short term variability than measuring from open boreholes. In addition, using larger screen depths and longer screens filters out short term temporal variability at the cost of a more delayed detection of trends in groundwater quality.     

Schwankungen der Sonnenstrahlung seit 18000 Jahren

Ohne Zusammenfassung     

Stratigraphy,pollen analysis,and paleoclimatic interpretation of Pulbeena Swamp,northwestern Tasmania

Sedimentary, palynologic, and ¹⁴C analysis of 480 cm of freshwater marl and swamp-peat deposits, formed under the influence of fluctuating artesian springs, provides a paleoenvironmental and paleoclimatic record of approximately 65,000 yr for northwestern Tasmania.The Holocene (Pollen Zone 1, 11,000-0 yr B.P.) climate was warm and moist, and forest vegetation was dominant throughout the area. During the later part of the last glacial stage (Pollen Zone 2, 35,000–11,000 yr B.P.) the climate was generally drier, and grassy open environments were widespread. The driest part of this period occurred between 25,000 to 11,000 yr B.P., when temperatures in western Tasmania were markedly reduced during the last major phase of glaciation. Prior to 35,000 yr B.P. (Pollen Zones 3–9) a long “interstadial complex” dating to the middle of the last glacial stage is recognized. During this period the climate was generally moist, and forest and scrub communities were more important than during the later part of the last glacial stage, except during Pollen Zone 5 when high Gramineae plus Compositae values suggest drier conditions. High Gramineae and Compositae values also occur in Pollen Zone 10 at the base of the diagram. They suggest that a phase of drier and cooler climatic conditions occurred during the early part of the last glacial stage.     

Greochronologie der letzten 12000 Jahre

Ohne Zusammenfassung